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Coronavirus: R number is now between 1.1 and 1.4 nationwide, with the UK reporting 4,322 new daily COVID-19 cases

Written by on 19/09/2020

The coronavirus transmission rate could now be as high as 1.4 in the UK, official figures show.

The updated R number came as 4,322 new daily coronavirus cases were recorded in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

This is an increase of almost 1,000 compared with Thursday – and it is the highest daily figure seen since 8 May.

According to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE), the nationwide R number is between 1.1 and 1.4.

It said this shows “widespread growth of the epidemic across the country”, and it means the number of new coronavirus infections is growing by between 2% and 7% every day.

Last week’s estimate for the R number was between 1.0 and 1.2 – the first time it rose above 1.0 since early March.

The R number represents the average number of people each person with coronavirus goes on to infect.

A reproduction rate of between 1.1 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people who have the virus will go on to infect between 11 and 14 others.

Scientists advising the government say the R number needs to remain below 1.0 to keep the pandemic under control.

Cases across the UK have spiked dramatically in recent days. Some 3,395 cases were confirmed on Thursday, and 3,991 the day before.

Ministers are currently considering another nationwide lockdown, with COVID-19 hospital admissions “doubling every seven to eight days”.

The government is concerned more young people getting the virus is leading to an increase in infection among the elderly and vulnerable.

This would put pressure on the NHS during the winter months – its busiest time of the year.

(c) Sky News 2020: Coronavirus: R number is now between 1.1 and 1.4 nationwide, with the UK reporting 4,322 new daily COVID-19 cases